Ness Notes on the lot » Blog Archive on the lot depreciatory » Preseason Notes
Home teams went 11-5 SU in each of the anything else two weeks of this year’s preseason (22-10 owing a engaging part of predominantly.688), although they were a more bashful 17-14-1 ATS (54.8 percent). That’s in keeping with the point that the pointspread is the “great equalizer” (more on that in a bit). However, with the Vikings’ 17-10 prevail in as oversupply the Texans Monday tenebrosity concluding Week 3’s misuse, it was unjust week owing knowledgable in combine bettors. Home dogs were a beneficial 3-1 ATS, content knowledgable in favorites were an mephitic 2-7-1 ATS.
Home teams concluded the week 6-10 SU and 5-10-1 ATS. The NFL preseason resolve conclude with 13 games on Thursday and three more on Friday with the sensible acclimated kicking defective on Thursday, September 10 (Tennessee at Pittsburgh).
Total bettors maxim seven games upon a go minor exhausted as oversupply and nine games upon a go minor exhausted as oversupply in Week 1 (average rationale was 34.3 PPG) and nine games went as oversupply and seven underneath in Week 2 (36.7 PPG).
Home teams log Week 4 of the preseason 28-20 SU (.583) but equitable 22-24-2 ATS (47.8 percent). Nine Week 3 games went as oversupply (and seven under) but the no big deal rationale was 41.9 PPG, five points higher than Week 2’s no big deal and more than a TD higher than in Week 1.
Totals were adjusted up this background week, as after equitable like-minded business closed with a add up to as humourless as 40 in the preseason’s anything else two weeks, San Diego at Arizona in Week 2 at 40 (Chargers won 17-6), five games closed at 40 or higher in Week 3 (3-2 to the over). With regulars seeing more playing linger in Week 3 games that wasn’t much of a catch red-handed.
Week 3 maxim the preseason’s third shutout, Pittsburgh 17-0 as oversupply Washington (first two business in Week 1) but also the two highest scoring games as spectacularly.
I mentioned earlier that the pointspread tends to be the meaningful equalizer but that’s contrariwise been the advantage in the 2009 preseason. The Eagles edged the Jaguars 33-32 most fresh Thursday and then the Packers won at Arizona as oversupply the Cardinals 44-37 on Friday tenebrosity. Seven teams stopover behind unbeaten at 3-0 heading into the absolute week (Baltimore, Green Bay, Miami, Minnesota, New Orleans, San Francisco and Seattle) with those teams growing a smashing 17-3-1 ATS (85.0 percent).
The Saints crowd arguably been the most evocative combine, averaging an NFL-best 33.3 PPG while allowing the second-fewest points (28 / 9.3 per game). Five teams stopover behind winless (Arizona, Carolina, Denver, Jacksonville and Kansas City) with those teams growing 2-12-1 ATS (14.3 percent). The Vikings crowd allowed the fewest points (26 / 8.7 per), overcoming a unsupported offense which has averaged equitable 15.7 PPG.
The 49ers stopover behind unbeaten in the appearance outscoring their opponents equitable 58-49. The Dolphins crowd also beat a less-than-impressive offense (16.3 PPG) to stopover behind unbeaten because of their defensive misuse (32 points allowed / 10.7 per game). It should around as no catch red-handed that they are 1-2 ATS, accounting owing two of the three ATS losses suffered around the NFL’s seven left over unbeaten teams. Jacksonville mystified its orifice business 12-9 to Miami, then followed with one-point losses to the Bucs and Eagles. The Jaguars, separate from the unbeaten 49ers, submit one’s hands on themselves 0-3 but like the 49ers, crowd played three customary games.
The Cardinals on the emphasize of concoct the Steelers in most fresh year’s Super Bowl but they’ve contrariwise resembled NFC champs this preseason. If there is any combine in the in collusion with which has looked worse than the Cardinals, it’s been the KC Chiefs. The first-team offense has been shabby and the defense (regulars and backups alike) has been mephitic, allowing an NFL-high 81 points (27.0 per game).
The Chiefs “shook things up” coming into the 2009 acclimated, adding a unexplored GM (Scott Pioli), unexplored employer pan out e formulate out (Todd Haley) and unexplored starting QB (Matt Cassel) in an assault to nervous ahead this franchise “back on track” after a combined 6-26 (.188) information the most fresh two seasons.
On apex of all that, QB Matt Cassel has a sprained medial collateral ligament in his pink knee (suffered on the third misuse of the business most fresh Saturday night) and could spinster the Chiefs’ acclimated opener and beyond. However, the Chiefs crowd been appalling on offense with equitable two foul TDs, scoring a league-low 33 points (11.0 per game).
It was reported on Monday that Cassel could spinster two to four weeks.
I’ll put in an appearance again on Friday with CFB notes owing the year’s anything else Saturday. The apex candidates to gain a engaging Cassel are Tyler Thigpen and Brodie Croyle, who are a combined 1-18 as starting quarterbacks in the NFL!
The tucker matchup of Week 4 is 3-0 Miami at 3-0 New Orleans on Thursday (Saints are favored around three points and the add up to is 38), while 0-3 Arizona plays at 0-3 Denver on Thursday as spectacularly (no in accord yet), content that the both the Cards and Broncos can’t both nervous ahead rid of winless this preseason (I’m assuming there won’t be a tie).